TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b01…e682

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$123.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$42.06
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$235.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$148.81
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$106.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.8%+$50.41
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.05
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.3%+$46.94
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+354.5%+$61.05
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-67.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$49.7
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will Mateusz Rebecki win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+128%+$25.6
Will Baisangur Susurkaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+57%+$11.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.2
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.69
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$575
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+588%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+588%+$294
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 26 above $430?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+213.5%+$55.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$18.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108%+$35.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.