Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccb89f5b54b3a3aa022c2d87f4b1fd6a03dfa45079995b00b06890a1a873ee21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 11c | 8,898$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 15c | 2,973$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.11 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 9c | 1,444$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 8c | 1,425$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 12c | 1,333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Over | 16c | 963.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 11c | 877.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 9c | 865.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 17c | 583.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 15c | 581.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 11c | 552.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 6c | 538$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 248.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 10c | 188.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…35e9backed Over | 18c | 145.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e682backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 14c | 93.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 20c | 91.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 19c | 63.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…d851backed Over | 19c | 62.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.