TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf294…7967

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
478
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT12322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,713%+$6,111.85
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$382.5
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.55
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.07
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.73
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.14
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+221.7%+$13,458.1
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.57
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverevbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.46
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodarbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.74
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.93
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,193
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$2,566.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.15
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.99
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.99
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.76
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.94
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.47
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.25
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+342.1%+$499.24
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$108.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.19
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$392.65
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.04
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.65
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$752.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$475.59
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4630.4%14 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,018.85
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+527.1%+$16,413.75
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,929Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+561.4%+$16,446.02
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.22
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.12
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,494.96
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$171.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$806.98
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.66
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,393.25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.93
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,986.68
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.97
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.99
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,280
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$802
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,691.44
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.49
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.38
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.97
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.59
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$217
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.85
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.98
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.07
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$353.5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.86
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$157
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.01
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$153
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$247.14
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,305.33
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.27
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$54.19
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,348.8%+$10,433.69
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,963.21
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+249.3%+$927.77
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.73
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.94
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,099.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.65
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26%+$352.66
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,128.75
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760.88
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.19
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$849.99
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.97
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$5,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,697.07
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700.62
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$690
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.41
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$6,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,095.36
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.29
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.99
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.23
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,877.56
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,121.31
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.88
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.61
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.29
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,963.4
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,930.35
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.5
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29%+$90
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$208
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39%+$449
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,981.1%+$23,810.62
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$101.08
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+111.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5,859.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$402
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,692Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$1,661.9
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,776.73
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$711.64
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.54
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.79
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,067.71
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.3
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.25
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,419.9
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.34
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+3,471.4%+$1,166.4
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.4%+$385.52
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$273
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+32.3%+$22.94
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$75.06
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.67
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$213.8
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.58
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,755.75
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,618.65
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,588.38
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.77
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,751Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30%+$2,026.46
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+203.5%+$340.94
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,131.37
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.11
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$229.59
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.51
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$74.41
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$734.6
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$42.6
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,731Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$858.96
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.06
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,831Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$4,385.51
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$580.55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.74
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$436.39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,171.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.98
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$139.95
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$40.49
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+380.1%+$954.46
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+812.2%+$462.65
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.14
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$16.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,698.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$1,685.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$146
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$50.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$699.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,574.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$178.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.04
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$868.61
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$700.63
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+227.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33%+$186.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.