Movies · resolved market
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x875c9e4dae99f1447580d5cdd09ba5b7ef767eba5e6b5320a380f1dc2b2270bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 22c | 17,159$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 59c | 10,925$6,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.37 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 7,444$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.96 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 66c | 5,575$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.21 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 21c | 4,581$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 77c | 4,434$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.56 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 38c | 4,245$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,858$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.74 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 68c | 3,646$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed No | 45c | 3,401$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.09 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 2,711$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.62 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,648$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.95 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 61c | 2,006$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.85 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 45c | 1,683$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.69 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 19c | 1,665$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 1,541$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 1,488$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 39c | 1,448$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,277$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.66 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…abcfbacked No | 26c | 1,261$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 63c | 1,250$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 25c | 1,236$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.87 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 73c | 1,231$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.71 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 1,152$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.77 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 1,103$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 59c | 1,097$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.04 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 45c | 991.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.76 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…c3b4backed Yes | 52c | 850$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 68c | 755.94$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked Yes | 80c | 750$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 13c | 749.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…7195backed No | 12c | 731.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 14c | 701.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb35…4af4backed Yes | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 36c | 700$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 48c | 695.03$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 67c | 673.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.11 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 33c | 667.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.73 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 54c | 660$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 24c | 633.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 50c | 614.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.05 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked No | 19c | 606$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 72c | 600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 36c | 600$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 46c | 550$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…629fbacked No | 11c | 531$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 59c | 518.81$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed No | 13c | 509$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 10c | 507.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.71 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…0b30backed No | 57c | 500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 56c | 480.79$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 23c | 478$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 51c | 474.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 65c | 470.52$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 63c | 470$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 74c | 469.97$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 23c | 463$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 27c | 423.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 41c | 395.41$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…ee1cbacked No | 56c | 390$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 60c | 385$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed No | 25c | 361.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…92aebacked Yes | 69c | 352$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 76c | 325.04$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 75c | 324.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 46c | 318.62$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 60c | 303.19$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 24c | 265.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 45c | 259.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 12c | 252.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 61c | 249.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 243.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 240$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 72c | 226.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed No | 24c | 220.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 60c | 215.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 26c | 212.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d6…40d0backed No | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked No | 71c | 198.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…3047backed No | 30c | 195.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 29c | 191.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 31c | 180.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 31c | 171$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511e…cfadbacked No | 71c | 167.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 19c | 161.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…95ebbacked No | 50c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked No | 40c | 159.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?this page
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.