TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x671a…2f1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
666
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: IPO, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT17570.3%123 W · 52 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$14.94
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$23.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$15.08
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$12.82
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$16.14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$11.28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$21.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$7.13
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$16.29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$30.4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.07
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13161.8%81 W · 50 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$8.28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+87%+$34.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$6.02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$94.21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$40.53
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$16.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.05
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.83
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.19
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.17
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$34.85
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$21.1
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$20.58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+59%+$830.08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$97.84
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.92
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$268.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.7
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$24.9
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.22
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$41.2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$21.97
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$30.03
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.79
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.75
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$78.94
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$3.89
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$585.54
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.94
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+429.5%+$63.57
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.55
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$84.06
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.64
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$38.69
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$27.87
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.1
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$17.82
Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+476.1%+$123.98
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$63.17
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$54.8
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$43.68
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.68
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$24.2
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.65
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+329.4%+$107.46
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.45
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$38.59
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+242.6%+$94.42
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$84.97
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$1,722.66
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$70.55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.3
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.35
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+154%+$147.92
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$19.97
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$21.22
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$16.62
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.34
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35%+$80.12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.68
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$305.87
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.61
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.59
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.26
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.84
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$29.82
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.66
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.65
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+74%+$27.65
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.6
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$61.76
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.77
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$31.6
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.55
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$448.04
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.85
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.8
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31%+$42.64
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+347%+$164.62
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.74
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900.81
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.12
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30%+$40.56
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$209.94
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$23.83
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$1,661.78
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.14
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$292.28
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.6
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$264
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.6
Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.08
Will Colombia be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+103%+$113.64
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$89.24
Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.11
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
IPO — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$18.32
Will Lime's market cap be between $1.7B and $2B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$7.47
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will ITG's market cap be less than $2.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+368.8%+$51.14
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$8.55
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$5.3
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$19.1
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$13.7
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$17.4
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36%+$17.2
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$34.58
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $1.1B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.8
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+224.3%+$83
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be at least $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$14.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.68
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$124.57
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 70k and 80k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.91
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be greater than 80k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+175.1%+$29.93
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.02
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$36.37
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+28%+$22.97
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.19
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$73.09
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108%+$19.49
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$41
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will Australia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4
Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.78
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$102.89
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$9.04
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+72%+$1,546.33
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,334.5
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56%+$71.78
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.47
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$36.59
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$15.47
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$12.59
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$15.5
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$42.35
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$6.76
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$5.45
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$19.35
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+391.1%+$604.46
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.31
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$73.83
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.71
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96%+$25.96
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.19
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.4
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.62
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Silver (SI) settle at $75-$80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$16.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.17
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$34.52
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$16.38
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$101.82
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$189.77
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.41
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.15
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.52
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$43.52
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$1,855.84
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$1,683.6
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$2,688.38
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.26
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$276.65
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$276.72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+185.5%+$1,120.05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,043.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+154.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fred Hoiberg win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$21.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$5.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.