TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1646…2f81backed Yes16c4,641$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.6631749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes15c4,275$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.5452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes13c3,252$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.811,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes12c3,049$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37427739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes13c2,810$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c2,630$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.644423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…ea38backed Yes12c2,617$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53c…b769backed Yes11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.982157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14db…7cafbacked Yes12c2,375$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes11c2,091$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304025%10 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Yes16c2,041$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5226833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes11c2,021$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.528226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes11c2,000$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4726541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes11c1,763$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.435416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes11c1,613$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4823731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed Yes14c1,517$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.253138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes12c1,443$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.16329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd956…dadabacked Yes12c1,432$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c1,360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.912,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes12c1,187$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.818710.3%9 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes9c1,170$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.190%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes10c1,090$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes10c1,021$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11090%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x104e…f419backed Yes33c915.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes10c905.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.65728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fbb2backed Yes12c848$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes14c821.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7553043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2296…0f83backed Yes12c815.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes12c806$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.729013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af0…d583backed Yes12c790$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes12c784.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-73.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6e…d878backed Yes13c772.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9470…8a30backed Yes11c760$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes13c744.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c720$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.419411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes11c713$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.127541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes12c703.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3773…e51bbacked Yes4c700$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe87b…8d24backed Yes11c647.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.39277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes13c633.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3528828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9708…14d6backed Yes12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745e…4225backed Yes13c615.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes11c600$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes21c581$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0136839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Yes21c551.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7238033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceae…1cedbacked Yes12c500$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes16c500$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781520%3 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…f691backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes12c465$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.711442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3c…1e3fbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dab…9f7bbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…ccb6backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes11c380.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes13c374.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.271637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Yes11c364.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes12c347.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes10c344.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+566.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes12c342.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5750%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked Yes17c334.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed Yes11c316.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c03…3e4fbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes10c289.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9722623.9%54 W · 172 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes9c280.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.575639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0122…44e1backed Yes12c273.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes8c268.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1874…594fbacked Yes13c265.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No77c264$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.191471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes11c255.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…272dbacked Yes6c249.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…e97cbacked Yes12c243.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.222748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes16c235.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.772934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes15c222$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.852050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a0…7513backed Yes11c219$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.098338.6%32 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes11c215.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ce…2e83backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb09f…f9a3backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eac…a9f2backed Yes15c198.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes10c181.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.472425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc31…04edbacked Yes11c168.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7057…e59cbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe886…cf16backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda28…9a17backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Yes20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…103bbacked Yes12c163$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-79.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x697d…f299backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-83.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f2…3de3backed Yes12c153$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0190…6b0bbacked Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes12c140$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-71.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes11c138.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58035%28 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ff…cd26backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…1794backed Yes12c133.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e00…7a10backed Yes12c133.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…8ee4backed Yes13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…3bc1backed Yes17c121.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.581717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes16c112.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d43…579dbacked Yes13c108$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.