TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7057…e59c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$124.93
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$59.53
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.15
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rinconbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
ITF Astana: Maria Sholokhova vs Kristina Kroitorbacked Kristina Kroitor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$67.32
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$51.45
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.45
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$339.7
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.3%+$126.9
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+134.2%+$181.21
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$87.74
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$135.88
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$80.27
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$147.76
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$93.33
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$47.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$108.41
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.69
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$43.78
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$71.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$36.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.