NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x889771fe1ffdfa067c4493ae89a11e1d2cb2699b0bb048e00ce8ba10d27dad84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Packers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,202,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,746,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,202,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,901 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Packers | 54c | 2,550,668$1,381,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381,902.06 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bears | 44c | 1,655,666$720,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934,947.2 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Packers | 55c | 410,901$225,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225,995.4 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Packers | 55c | 382,167$210,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,034.75 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bears | 47c | 319,149$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,148.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bears | 46c | 257,206$118,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,559.56 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bears | 34c | 214,789$72,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,183.03 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Packers | 72c | 202,130$145,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,505.74 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bears | 44c | 200,000$88,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bears | 44c | 165,619$73,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,050.26 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Bears | 46c | 160,000$73,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,399.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bears | 27c | 126,433$34,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,417.77 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Packers | 68c | 121,360$82,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,448.95 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Packers | 66c | 105,370$69,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,293.94 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Packers | 54c | 96,148$52,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,061.49 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bears | 46c | 83,461$38,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,285.35 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Packers | 52c | 77,153$40,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,119.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bears | 22c | 73,262$16,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,261.1 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Packers | 54c | 73,157$39,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,241.75 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Packers | 64c | 72,094$45,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,847.32 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Packers | 54c | 67,624$36,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,540.74 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bears | 47c | 64,741$30,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,602.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bears | 51c | 61,629$31,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,262.62 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bears | 74c | 61,506$45,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,758.95 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Packers | 73c | 60,249$44,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,231.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Bears | 24c | 57,701$14,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,630.32 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bears | 47c | 55,555$26,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,333 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Packers | 69c | 54,051$37,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,170.82 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Packers | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 45c | 42,685$19,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,287.1 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Bears | 32c | 38,846$12,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,577.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 51c | 38,499$19,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,536.6 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Bears | 24c | 37,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,199.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Bears | 11c | 36,553$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,552.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Packers | 61c | 34,780$21,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,315.34 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Packers | 54c | 33,912$18,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,244.85 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bears | 48c | 33,842$16,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,439.05 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bears | 50c | 33,213$16,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,633.16 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bears | 54c | 32,985$17,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,289.03 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Packers | 50c | 30,951$15,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,475.65 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Packers | 1c | 28,887$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Bears | 12c | 28,155$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,679.52 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…bf96backed Packers | 54c | 28,009$15,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bears | 26c | 27,822$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,667.88 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Bears | 46c | 26,636$12,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,387.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…fdffbacked Bears | 47c | 25,831$12,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,690.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Bears | 25c | 25,000$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,750 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Bears | 69c | 24,517$16,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,561.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bears | 44c | 24,292$10,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,603.41 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Bears | 45c | 22,425$10,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,315.7 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Bears | 47c | 21,276$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.43 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Packers | 75c | 21,234$15,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,919.21 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bears | 45c | 20,867$9,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,476.8 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Bears | 47c | 20,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,700 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Packers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Packers | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Packers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bears | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.94 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Packers | 53c | 19,998$10,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,598.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Packers | 78c | 18,920$14,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,704.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bears | 40c | 18,085$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,771.74 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bears | 46c | 17,905$8,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,647.17 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Bears | 32c | 17,496$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,822.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Bears | 46c | 17,486$8,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,442.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Bears | 45c | 17,282$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,505.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Bears | 46c | 17,204$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,290.35 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Packers | 51c | 17,096$8,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,711.38 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Packers | 54c | 17,000$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,180 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bears | 46c | 16,304$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.35 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Packers | 56c | 16,284$9,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,081.29 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Packers | 56c | 16,257$9,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,168.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bears | 46c | 16,219$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,812.6 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bears | 40c | 16,112$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,673.92 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Packers | 56c | 16,000$8,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,960 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Packers | 54c | 16,000$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,710 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Bears | 46c | 16,000$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Bears | 34c | 15,743$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,467.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Bears | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Packers | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Bears | 74c | 14,885$11,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bears | 46c | 14,572$6,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,868.88 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Packers | 55c | 13,799$7,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,589.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Bears | 51c | 13,672$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.81 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Bears | 17c | 13,639$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,378.59 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Packers | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bears | 8c | 13,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,960 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Bears | 28c | 12,743$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,191.48 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bears | 48c | 12,500$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.97 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Packers | 54c | 12,174$6,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,574.16 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bears | 15c | 12,002$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,251.28 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Packers | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Packers | 46c | 11,500$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Bears | 46c | 11,467$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Bears | 48c | 11,027$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,733.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Bears | 11c | 10,903$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,703.42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Packers | 59c | 10,698$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.68 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Bears | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Bears | 47c | 10,610$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,623.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Bears | 78c | 10,514$8,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Bearsthis page
- Bears Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Bears: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5Over won
- Packers vs. Bears: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bears (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Packers (-4.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.