TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd289…079f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,490.79
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14,885.42
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$3,224.33
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7,634.92
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,648Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+99.6%+$9,605.51
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$195.66
Australian Open Men's: Kamil Majchrzak vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$3,196.72
Australian Open Men's: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$597.4
Australian Open Women's: Tereza Valentova vs Maya Jointbacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37.2%+$1,486.86
Australian Open Women's: Olga Danilovic vs Venus Williamsbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+30.8%+$759.95
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+73.4%+$3,671.58
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,415.62
Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+86%+$5,161.68
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Casper Ruudbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+47.2%+$2,851.02
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.2%+$6,254.12
ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.1%+$1,775.12
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$7,524
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,471.84
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.1%+$3,660.3
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+64%+$3,200.94
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+32.4%+$2,271.36
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+79%+$3,949.61
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.8%+$2,597.39
Brisbane International: Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frechbacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,347.42
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,922Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,295.98
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,085.26
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+71.6%+$12,180.09
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10,408.16
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$7,000
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.3%+$6,576.86
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$9,700
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,411Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$5,150.09
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6,244.67
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$7,900
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$6,953.57
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12,000
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$7,589.2
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.6%+$4,740.63
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,700
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,894.51
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,888
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$7,777
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$9,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$8,888
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$180.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$6,500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$8,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+508.1%+$8,780.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$227.46
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+91.9%+$3,675.75
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,879Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+45.2%+$1,300.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$133.52
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,835.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10,947.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,885Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.2%+$1,216.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8,503.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.