Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb275bb7bcacdc4517331591b082fbac8df710e996474240b0ad9d79fea36730c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabiloof Tabilo, Carabelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Carabelli | 33c | 28,016$9,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,362.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tabilo | 66c | 18,707$12,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.74 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Carabelli | 9c | 13,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Carabelli | 24c | 8,441$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Tabilo | 67c | 7,335$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Tabilo | 69c | 5,797$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.12 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Carabelli | 35c | 5,495$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.54 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Tabilo | 69c | 5,348$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.59 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tabilo | 78c | 4,846$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.63 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Carabelli | 4c | 4,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked Carabelli | 33c | 3,900$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tabilo | 77c | 3,590$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Carabelli | 33c | 3,300$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Carabelli | 10c | 3,021$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Carabelli | 33c | 2,706$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Carabelli | 33c | 2,700$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Tabilo | 67c | 2,700$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.99 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Tabilo | 70c | 2,025$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.6 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed Carabelli | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tabilo | 65c | 1,814$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.89 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Carabelli | 31c | 1,636$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.04 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tabilo | 74c | 1,516$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Carabelli | 31c | 1,357$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Carabelli | 1c | 1,335$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Carabelli | 9c | 1,202$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Carabelli | 3c | 1,159$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tabilo | 68c | 1,042$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Carabelli | 34c | 1,019$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tabilo | 67c | 1,003$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Tabilo | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Carabelli | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Carabelli | 28c | 939.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked Tabilo | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed Tabilo | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked Tabilo | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…913fbacked Tabilo | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tabilo | 66c | 827.8$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed Tabilo | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Carabelli | 33c | 761.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…4703backed Carabelli | 32c | 737.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4399…1bf3backed Tabilo | 68c | 736.5$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed Tabilo | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed Tabilo | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3f75backed Tabilo | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed Tabilo | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Tabilo | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tabilo | 69c | 671.19$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Tabilo | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Tabilo | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked Tabilo | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed Tabilo | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Carabelli | 34c | 598.57$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tabilo | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Carabelli | 19c | 529.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked Tabilo | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Carabelli | 8c | 481.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Carabelli | 30c | 438.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Carabelli | 9c | 425.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Carabelli | 34c | 418.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Carabelli | 24c | 402.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Carabelli | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Carabelli | 36c | 363.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Carabelli | 32c | 346.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Carabelli | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Carabelli | 21c | 310.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Tabilo | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Carabelli | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Tabilo | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Carabelli | 34c | 298.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Carabelli | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Tabilo | 69c | 289$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Carabelli | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Tabilo | 66c | 275.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Tabilo | 76c | 262.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Carabelli | 21c | 245.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Carabelli | 31c | 203.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Tabilo | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Carabelli | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Tabilo | 70c | 174.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Carabelli | 34c | 164.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…d9f5backed Carabelli | 15c | 160.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Carabelli | 32c | 154.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Tabilo | 67c | 152.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Tabilo | 68c | 152$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Carabelli | 34c | 148.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Tabilo | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Tabilo | 70c | 142.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Carabelli | 24c | 142$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Tabilo | 70c | 141.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tabilo | 70c | 141$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…8f87backed Carabelli | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Carabelli | 18c | 111.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Tabilo | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Carabelli | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b1…474abacked Carabelli | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Tabilo | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…a9b4backed Carabelli | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Tabilo | 69c | 97.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Tabilo | 70c | 95.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…9a4fbacked Tabilo | 69c | 91.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs CarabelliTabilo won
- Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)Tabilo won
- Tabilo vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tabilo vs. Carabelli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Tabilo vs. Carabelli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Tabilo vs. Carabelli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.