TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1dc…1068

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 59 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST3351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+52.4%+$9.61
Hobart International: Rebecca Sramkova vs Taylah Prestonbacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Australian Open Women's: Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadeckibacked Gadecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Australian Open Men's: Jerome Kym vs Dane Sweenybacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+59.1%+$19.77
Hobart International: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Libacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+233.8%+$31.47
ASB Classic: Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+60%+$24.48
Australian Open Men's: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+485.5%+$116.07
Australian Open Women's: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Gaobacked Gao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
Adelaide International: Yulia Putintseva vs Dalma Galfibacked Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Adelaide International: Andrea Vavassori vs Gabriel Diallobacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+39.8%+$13.31
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Barrios vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.73
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfilsbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+43.4%+$32.61
Australian Open Men's: Jason Kubler vs Harold Mayotbacked Kubler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.7%+$3.05
Adelaide International: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98.26
Australian Open Men's: Alex Bolt vs Elias Ymerbacked Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.04
Adelaide International: Jelena Ostapenko vs Tereza Valentovabacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.4
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+68.6%+$26.21
Australian Open Women's: Louisa Chirico vs Yue Yuanbacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+60.5%+$124.57
Australian Open Women's: Polina Iatcenko vs Maria Lourdes Carlebacked Iatcenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.38
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.3%+$5.54
ASB Classic: Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.7%+$20.41
Australian Open Men's: Yosuke Watanuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.48
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pieri vs Harmony Tanbacked Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
Hobart International: Rebecca Sramkova vs Varvara Grachevabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$52.64
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.94
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.08
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.63
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+98.2%+$11.79
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.63
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.36
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+114.6%+$14.33
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+110.2%+$22.59
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$101.67
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.9%+$18.46
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.7%+$7.66
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+55.5%+$21.19
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+55.4%+$28.83
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.05
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.25
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$94.88
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+95.4%+$122.61
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.42
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$202.61
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.75
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.3%+$7.53
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+150%+$27.83
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$26.42
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.64
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.62
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.78
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+77.5%+$117.72
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.91
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.87
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+62.6%+$16.86
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+55.8%+$6.24
Hurricanes vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.39
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.75
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$44.22
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.39
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.3
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.5%+$16.5
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$42.85
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+257.1%+$94.98
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+36.5%+$33.16
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.79
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+158.7%+$53.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+130.3%+$55.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+48.5%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$56.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.