Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18b21cf7b1b27119378dc62a2d9de8f69d17f78eabb5a2de84cdd6e9896a1f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 51c | 19,176$9,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,396.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 52c | 17,559$9,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,130.59 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 0c | 16,858$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.99 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 0c | 10,213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 9,966$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.74 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 48c | 7,555$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 59c | 5,722$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.64 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 4,353$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.57 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 51c | 4,157$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.93 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 59c | 2,775$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.56 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 2,544$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 50c | 2,465$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…f02cbacked No | 49c | 2,343$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,210$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.1 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 49c | 2,053$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 73c | 1,999$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.04 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 51c | 1,993$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 1,803$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.38 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.06 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,754$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.01 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 51c | 1,506$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.11 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 51c | 1,240$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.64 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 48c | 1,068$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.51 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 51c | 1,053$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.82 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 51c | 1,043$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 1,040$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,035$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 850$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 49c | 837.67$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 51c | 758.14$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.49 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 20c | 755.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 50c | 730.71$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.36 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed No | 50c | 488.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 404$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 50c | 403.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 316$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 312.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 66c | 292$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 26c | 291.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 49c | 286.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 53c | 244.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 53c | 236.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 34c | 220.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 51c | 200.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 50c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed No | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 198.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 189.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 174.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 49c | 169.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 50c | 168.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 160.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 51c | 149.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…1be8backed Yes | 73c | 146.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 50c | 142.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f3…6ae7backed Yes | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-14?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.