Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f8f2dd288578a32e6dbe198a875f56c47efc569f38555f1cfd59565b2e14bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 26c | 23,072$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 9,555$7,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.69 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 75c | 8,232$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 7,200$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 74c | 5,865$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.9 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 5,672$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.93 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 5,264$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 75c | 4,667$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 2,128$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.71 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 2,097$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.26 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 75c | 1,560$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,541$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 1,390$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.31 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 25c | 1,365$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,252$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,250$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.6 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…504dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,175$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 799$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 26c | 694$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 25c | 681.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 675$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35d…8a78backed Yes | 25c | 599.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 26c | 390.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…49e8backed No | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 309.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked No | 76c | 264.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…f0debacked No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 238$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 25c | 166.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 75c | 134.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 25c | 125.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 24c | 118.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked Yes | 25c | 114.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 75c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 98.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…aa5cbacked Yes | 26c | 75.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 75c | 60.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 26c | 58.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 26c | 58.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…2604backed Yes | 25c | 50.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…1760backed Yes | 26c | 49.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 42.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 35.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 34.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 75c | 26.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…b493backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 74c | 24.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f1…7be0backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.