TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf711…db0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST5242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+93.1%+$48.2
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+95.4%+$50.77
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.03
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+153.2%+$66.12
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.86
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+83.5%+$45.5
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.41
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.33
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56.56
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$94.49
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.21
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+160.3%+$22.63
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.63
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+57.9%+$71.46
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.1%+$29.64
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+128.3%+$56.2
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$56.75
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$124.66
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+73.4%+$42.33
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+165.3%+$68.31
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$120.4
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+189.4%+$30.11
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST4748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$67.94
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35.15
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$120.76
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+111%+$94.28
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+103.7%+$19.08
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.76
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+84.8%+$63.87
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$92.52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+41.4%+$18.54
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.41
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.05
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52.49
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+68.1%+$40.5
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.3%+$52.77
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.43
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.3
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+124.4%+$82.32
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.06
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.1%+$28.92
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.6%+$6.83
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+169.2%+$50.15
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$67.73
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$82.46
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST3735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$92.21
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+286.3%+$74.1
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+27.7%+$21.67
Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96.54
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$72.33
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.8%+$40.71
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$87.95
Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Will Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.53
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.86
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31.64
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.89
Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$21.75
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+213.6%+$58.75
Will US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.99
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.76
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Will RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.62
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29%+$22.5
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$85.54
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.5%+$29.8
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$87.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$88.64
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70.8
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.88
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.91
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$27.12
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$147.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+134.9%+$56.24
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+41.5%+$29.33
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$28.56
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+126.2%+$45.8
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$73.75
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+118%+$54.12
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+198.5%+$66.48
Will Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+43.9%+$11.09
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.2
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.42
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$126.86
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46.29
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+70.9%+$8.51
Will Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$59.99
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.4%+$45.91
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$89.51
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.8%+$22.33
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+38.1%+$28.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40.88
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+119.3%+$108.79
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$57.53
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.