Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a7a98ab9e28b9919efbec1c2ea6ace67040112fb0b9eabfe25313389c04bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $654,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 40c | 170,752$68,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,815.08 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 42c | 153,217$64,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,351.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 59c | 71,837$42,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,453.26 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,500 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 42c | 39,999$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.64 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 58c | 37,112$21,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,587.21 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 41c | 26,949$11,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,049.29 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 58c | 25,964$15,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,813.81 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 42c | 11,327$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.34 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 8,754$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.54 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 8,649$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 8,509$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.3 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 56c | 7,229$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 6,146$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.86 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 50c | 6,121$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.38 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yes | 60c | 5,967$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.62 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 58c | 5,574$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.15 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 42c | 5,329$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 4,200$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 3,945$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 41c | 3,398$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.1 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 58c | 3,208$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 19c | 2,899$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.55 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 52c | 2,869$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.46 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 2,797$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.91 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 2,579$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.35 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 42c | 2,410$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.92 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.46per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 41c | 2,200$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.98 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,138$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.78 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,130$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.59 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No | 62c | 2,107$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 41c | 1,934$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 5c | 1,896$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…532bbacked No | 44c | 1,832$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked No | 1c | 1,677$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 41c | 1,600$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.61 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,596$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.02 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,452$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.38 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,435$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.41 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 43c | 1,420$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.6 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 58c | 1,210$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.83 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…e5d7backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 1,105$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.59 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 71c | 1,021$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.43 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…8390backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 57c | 964.95$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 958.72$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.78 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…6e92backed Yes | 46c | 952.12$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.51 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 58c | 948.28$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.28 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 44c | 934.53$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.07 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 876.13$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.49 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 58c | 875$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 58c | 829.31$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 21c | 742.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.5 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…d7f1backed Yes | 59c | 718.45$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 51c | 700$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 55c | 700$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 27c | 666.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.13 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked No | 66c | 646.96$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 22c | 645.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.45 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…e5d1backed Yes | 7c | 616.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,426.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 65c | 595.27$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.78 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 12c | 588.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.98 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 21c | 586.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.13 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 69c | 583.03$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.51 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 66c | 557$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 551.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.77 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.