TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33f1…f95f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite (BO3)backed Kopite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$333.33
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37%+$184.93
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+56.8%+$682.68
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$630.11
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$301.75
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+46.1%+$166.11
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+32.4%+$162.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$119.07
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$163.27
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+80.9%+$177.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$505.99
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+60.2%+$301
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$443.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$201.65
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Roar Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+28.3%+$56.53
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$208.94
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$487
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$299.7
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$269.21
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25.1%+$265.09
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$208.13
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+29.2%+$227.51
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+36.1%+$36.14
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$91.54
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+37%+$85.07
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$267.7
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$340.12
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$64.6
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$89.2
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$44.75
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$115.84
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$203.68
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$500.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$584
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+39.8%+$337.67
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+35.1%+$159.51
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+49.9%+$348.98
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.8%+$124.8
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+65.6%+$236.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$369.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$123.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$427.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$356.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.