TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,236,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,337,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,236,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00d6…aa44backed Nets17c80,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,200.065815.5%9 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets15c50,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.9996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nets16c41,803$6,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,759.0372450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets16c38,472$6,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,155.451,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Nets16c31,865$5,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.027946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Nets16c29,875$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.9859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Nets16c23,772$3,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,891.2410144.6%45 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets15c20,390$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets17c20,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Nets15c15,555$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.2515952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Nets15c13,926$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.822,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets16c13,021$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.9261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets16c12,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Nets17c12,500$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.941216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets17c11,890$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.652,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x080c…e38ebacked Nets17c11,765$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Nets11c9,592$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.039131.9%29 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets16c9,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets10c8,469$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.621,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d5…5ae1backed Nets12c8,330$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.61944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick24cpaid+572.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Nets16c7,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.741,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d75…e3b9backed Nets17c6,704$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.81540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Nets16c6,656$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.944725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Nets20c5,954$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.7826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf65…127cbacked Nets20c5,463$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nets14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics73c5,000$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.9944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Nets13c4,870$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.112938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Nets17c4,540$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.5124330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Nets20c4,228$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.6517147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Nets16c4,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Nets16c3,976$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.7815228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets15c3,944$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.631,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x429b…0688backed Nets18c3,813$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.313450%17 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d71…87d5backed Nets12c3,652$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Nets16c3,423$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.7295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets16c3,414$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.382,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics76c3,184$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nets33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Nets23c2,878$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.294050%20 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Nets18c2,754$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Nets10c2,648$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb08e…bb22backed Nets18c2,600$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets16c2,426$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Celtics79c2,244$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.4810457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets23c2,231$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.041,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Nets14c2,230$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4448132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets15c2,096$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.461,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Nets24c2,015$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.26752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets16c2,000$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Nets15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nets18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Nets15c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Nets22c1,982$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets1c1,908$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.088820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nets16c1,858$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.291,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Nets17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Nets17c1,756$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1855346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d70…f478backed Nets25c1,717$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.111040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c2…e215backed Nets17c1,712$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Nets3c1,669$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0519419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nets24c1,652$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nets15c1,592$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets20c1,591$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddd…166cbacked Nets23c1,552$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nets15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Nets17c1,462$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.511,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Nets17c1,459$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2489445.7%43 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20cb…719bbacked Celtics74c1,344$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Celtics78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.979943.4%43 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d1…43a0backed Nets23c1,253$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.111915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Nets17c1,249$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3235651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Nets18c1,205$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1350239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf922…e9c7backed Nets13c1,200$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.972030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefe9…c791backed Nets17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets18c1,155$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Nets17c1,150$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Nets17c1,116$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.715933.9%20 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Nets27c1,113$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6425146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets11c1,100$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.91,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets24c1,069$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.185,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…a671backed Nets28c1,061$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Celtics79c1,027$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9229458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8c…b878backed Nets17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Nets16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Celtics74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Nets16c988.35$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.222836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c58…cad3backed Nets11c915.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-77.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets7c912.17$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.278783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Nets17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506826.5%18 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Nets18c878.4$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5110533.3%35 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Nets26c869.39$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets12c849.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked Celtics77c829.84$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.078846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Nets17c800$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13434645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets11c792.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.83,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Nets15c770.47$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11724452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.