TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73da…b7ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
620
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT32457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 324 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.1
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,287.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,826.06
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,410
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,799.98
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.5
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.88
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$1,186.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.8
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.21
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,689.96
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,195.55
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Showing 25 of 324 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 200 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$713.48
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.99
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$539.99
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,627Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,410.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$1,430
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,405.14
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$765
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$246.54
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$960.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,257.74
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,176
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$296.86
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$1,640.74
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$104.99
Showing 25 of 200 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$17.25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$56.49
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$48
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$197.3
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$235
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.12
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$97.13
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.88
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$567.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$576
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$67.33
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$225.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.5
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$752.6
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+45%+$175.26
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+67%+$40.12
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+43.9%+$183
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.3%+$168.21
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$118
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.6%+$596.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.