TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde67…bab9backed Under28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9514852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under50c2,984$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.6469741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under26c2,735$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.2521347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c2,479$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.252,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over74c2,000$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.171,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over44c1,488$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.896235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under31c1,400$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.3763742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c1,396$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406521.5%14 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over72c1,340$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.735848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed Over18c1,230$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8861…ab58backed Over71c840.44$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under27c805.46$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9924643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac3…eda2backed Under61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2734332.6%14 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Over72c678.34$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.078749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under68c603.73$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.263941%16 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over60c587.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9540637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over29c565.35$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9997854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Over72c536.4$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.2148742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under29c512$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5222748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under28c510$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.234448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c498.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.51,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over59c455.8$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.921,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c428.66$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.432,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Over71c425.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014148.9%69 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under55c424.87$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.255837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under53c423.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.918045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under60c400$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.581,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under44c386.87$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.372,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…697abacked Under40c358.94$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1316547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…20f4backed Over72c356.05$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.01875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over71c350$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.524649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over36c345.4$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7837948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8319346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Over72c344.06$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.724847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under46c340.14$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.941,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Over72c335.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd671…487ebacked Under69c323.77$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.774856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under24c319.75$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0123948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec09…4c2fbacked Over70c312.56$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb489…4944backed Over72c302.54$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick73cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x59d4…eb89backed Over12c296.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.526428.1%18 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dad…ee77backed Under66c284.14$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.413951.8%72 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…b9c6backed Over73c274.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005540%22 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Over74c270.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over76c264.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0166058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Over71c249.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Under78c248.83$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.742544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under77c230.14$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.361,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over74c212.13$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1587844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over74c211.25$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.586142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Over72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019741.1%81 W · 116 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x009a…b063backed Under27c201.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.33100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+226.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14616047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Under33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13421548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dd…b5a6backed Under66c191.4$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Over73c189$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.978542.4%36 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under57c178.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.422,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Under29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4128942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over24c169.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3290…9a56backed Over67c150.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4e9…076abacked Over76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11416959.8%101 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Under66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1320542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under28c149.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over59c149.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8850745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008355.4%46 W · 37 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1325…8fd1backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x347d…0b64backed Under27c128$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.442944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under52c125.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.983,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over74c120.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.421751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Over72c111.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801631.3%5 W · 11 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick68cpaid-53.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over72c104.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb30…b58ebacked Over72c104.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506450%32 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Under35c100.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.713540%14 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over14c100.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9546452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.761,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357938%30 W · 49 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under60c86.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.781,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over69c80.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2761746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under24c77.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0560243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Over59c71.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0516346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…f625backed Under29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9738953.2%207 W · 182 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc090…d267backed Over76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x778b…5aa2backed Under39c64.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.442665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ba1…1b73backed Over73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.61163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Under66c59.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0537950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeda…28c9backed Over72c52.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under33c51.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1732555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under28c48.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.166248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under25c46.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.71,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Over35c42.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.945848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over71c42.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.871,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.