Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36713df1c66e53058ad0953481a3f0b92767dd68fa20645f8e828791d88c8acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 77c | 643$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Under | 65c | 436.15$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Over | 36c | 388$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Under | 64c | 380$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 11c | 379.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 35c | 353.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 37c | 173.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Over | 12c | 115.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Over | 37c | 111.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -10.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…6a99backed Under | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 71c | 85.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 30c | 82.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…d34cbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…56fbbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 35c | 43.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…d9f3backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 64c | 25.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…cccdbacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…6fe7backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 77 | 72.7%56 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 2?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 3?Team Secret Whales won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.