TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Team Secret Whales
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Team Secret Whales56c72,197$40,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,449.511,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed LYON43c20,023$8,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,413.1138235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed LYON44c17,696$7,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,970.3851146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Secret Whales58c17,200$9,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,97653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3239…8da3backed LYON42c15,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.945442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Secret Whales57c14,962$8,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,528.511,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Team Secret Whales58c14,371$8,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,267.9959450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fc…91f4backed LYON43c14,350$6,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,179.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked LYON43c13,363$5,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,589.6225244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c42…76c9backed LYON45c12,261$5,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,743.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Secret Whales57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Team Secret Whales57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9710449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed LYON42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.97051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Team Secret Whales57c9,897$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.996342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked LYON45c7,432$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.678453.6%45 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LYON76c7,144$5,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.969741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed LYON43c6,547$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.516434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79e8…8c49backed Team Secret Whales56c6,012$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.571816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-70.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed LYON43c5,814$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.9519232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked Team Secret Whales58c5,550$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2192250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Team Secret Whales57c5,420$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.388951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed LYON42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90023445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Team Secret Whales58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90013344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Secret Whales58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90029443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Secret Whales57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85010839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LYON43c4,719$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.61,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked LYON42c4,505$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.8425447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LYON44c4,398$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.7359248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON42c4,242$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.361,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked LYON43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Team Secret Whales57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99514553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Secret Whales57c3,300$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88182352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked LYON45c3,300$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81564749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed LYON43c2,737$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.974060%24 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked LYON42c2,710$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.810243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed LYON42c2,650$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53711940.3%48 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Team Secret Whales56c2,415$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.2537342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked LYON43c2,389$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.5814748.3%71 W · 76 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked LYON45c2,022$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.0117647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Secret Whales52c1,932$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.726552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…2003backed Team Secret Whales58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LYON44c1,655$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.512,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed LYON43c1,628$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8614346.9%67 W · 76 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed LYON43c1,612$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.631936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed LYON43c1,583$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4842735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Team Secret Whales57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9989050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Team Secret Whales58c1,457$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.829253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked LYON43c1,383$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.4511943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Team Secret Whales58c1,380$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9812341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…9d31backed LYON43c1,312$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Team Secret Whales58c1,207$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LYON44c1,070$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.8590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Team Secret Whales57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57021150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed LYON43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57030151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Secret Whales56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked LYON43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2327142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Team Secret Whales58c927$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.663046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed LYON43c924.8$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1435442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed LYON42c818.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.0131337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed LYON43c818.6$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.65639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed LYON44c804.7$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6311538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked LYON44c798.23$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.0129338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked LYON43c790.7$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.731849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed LYON44c730$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.81,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked LYON43c721.56$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.296361.9%39 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked LYON45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38511344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed LYON43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6739541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e6a…681dbacked LYON43c693$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.014837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Team Secret Whales42c688$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.874422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed LYON45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.678264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Secret Whales57c656.05$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37728253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed LYON45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33034568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Team Secret Whales57c584.21$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed LYON43c565$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.051540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed LYON43c534.88$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8828235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked LYON43c530.93$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6337640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed LYON45c508.38$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6118839.9%75 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c7…ba3ebacked LYON43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28533069.7%230 W · 100 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed LYON44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed LYON43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28515143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Secret Whales45c472.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…f6f4backed LYON64c465.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.556360.3%38 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed LYON43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1242348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Team Secret Whales53c453.8$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed LYON43c448.84$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.844940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Team Secret Whales11c401.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.937948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked LYON42c399.96$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9853829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Team Secret Whales17c361$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.656235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Team Secret Whales57c351$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0748852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed LYON43c310$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.725345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Team Secret Whales56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16864443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Secret Whales54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16242149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed LYON43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Secret Whales57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17179745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked LYON44c299$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.446533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed LYON43c280.47$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.874060%24 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Team Secret Whales59c280.44$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.26456.3%36 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed LYON44c278.52$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9716148.4%78 W · 83 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed LYON43c275.51$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0443839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.