TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under53c13,552$7,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,434.611,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.971,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over47c7,147$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3611,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over47c2,907$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.3824235.5%86 W · 156 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under51c2,698$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.888950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.115825.9%15 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c1,888$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.992,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over47c1,842$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.6311943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over53c1,478$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.7833838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e6a…681dbacked Over47c1,293$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.714837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Over47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over53c1,209$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.1342149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under52c1,104$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.182,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over47c925.96$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.229338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Over47c915.55$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.3114735.4%52 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under51c902$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9420143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over47c891.61$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.8134250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Over51c637.06$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.923332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Over47c621.28$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2923234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Over49c521.56$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3616035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over47c520.7$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7354429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Over47c512.4$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.836939.1%27 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over47c504.26$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23759148.2%285 W · 306 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over47c387.23$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18221943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over47c341.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.810046%46 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fe…5cbfbacked Under50c332.08$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.126628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over50c324$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213534.1%46 W · 89 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under45c290$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.51,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over47c285.11$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1348929.2%26 W · 63 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12516047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under43c241.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4134756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb84…4a20backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under46c221.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5144743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over54c213.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.016338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009537.9%36 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e3…c45cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410231.4%32 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under50c199.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8457351.3%294 W · 279 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over57c174.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over7c170.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5516819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9620551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Over47c127.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under43c123.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.424832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.213444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf6…52bfbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474148.8%20 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under50c99.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8816346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over53c96.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5725551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Over47c86.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7533039.7%131 W · 199 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7819840.4%80 W · 118 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c76.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under45c69.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6961746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Under54c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under51c58.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8110657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over58c58.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.875142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Under46c53.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.164641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c51.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5141749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9979345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Under45c44.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.892744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0789…f7adbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…362bbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ea…fa08backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d6…5e9bbacked Over47c41.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7954…678dbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206771.6%48 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae33…f57fbacked Under45c39.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8816163.4%102 W · 59 L+13.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over47c36.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.294339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce98…6d30backed Over59c32.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over49c31.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f2…9a13backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over57c31.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8424959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Over47c31.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6614850.7%75 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d4…2613backed Over47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Under45c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4412536%45 W · 80 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a5…6a2abacked Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117458.1%43 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Over47c21.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.239352.4%206 W · 187 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed Over51c19.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.