TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Team Secret Whales
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0224…292abacked LYON23c22,509$5,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,261.7325244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3239…8da3backed LYON23c20,141$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,4105442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Secret Whales77c12,582$9,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,725.52,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Team Secret Whales76c7,033$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,345.3332555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Team Secret Whales77c5,195$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Team Secret Whales76c5,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80010449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Team Secret Whales76c4,275$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.0217555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Team Secret Whales77c3,636$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8004546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Team Secret Whales77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5404953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Secret Whales77c1,812$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.0841439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed LYON23c1,383$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.5632045.6%146 W · 174 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed LYON23c1,319$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.6310546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Team Secret Whales77c1,241$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.233351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Secret Whales58c1,233$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.7697254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Team Secret Whales77c1,006$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.6611446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked LYON26c1,000$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74525332%81 W · 172 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team Secret Whales76c899.96$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.9723948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Team Secret Whales77c819.48$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9514148.9%69 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed LYON28c805.01$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.761650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x974b…076ebacked LYON21c731.02$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5779457.4%54 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LYON51c682.18$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9169741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LYON23c669.28$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.322,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Team Secret Whales79c589.27$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.5210547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Team Secret Whales46c569$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.76235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Secret Whales30c567.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3277949.9%389 W · 390 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…2573backed LYON64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Team Secret Whales77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38538851.3%199 W · 189 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Team Secret Whales36c446.81$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8537948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Team Secret Whales77c441.43$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.968253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked LYON70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5782650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Team Secret Whales77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30834960.2%210 W · 139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Secret Whales74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d4…6663backed LYON23c397.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.133250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LYON39c396.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.922,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed LYON66c340.35$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.799460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Team Secret Whales77c337.66$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked LYON28c321.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3567553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Team Secret Whales66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014841.2%61 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed LYON23c300.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0179745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae3f…defebacked Team Secret Whales68c284.46$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret Whales5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked LYON23c215$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed LYON24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3318849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Team Secret Whales6c208$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8b…8e96backed Team Secret Whales77c188.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456157.4%35 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Team Secret Whales77c167.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.155950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Secret Whales67c164.02$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.531,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Team Secret Whales76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11426048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Secret Whales72c148.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10621652.3%113 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d68…cd6abacked LYON70c139.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.824940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x591b…8410backed Team Secret Whales77c138.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.675545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Team Secret Whales77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.112347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Team Secret Whales78c128.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Team Secret Whales79c126.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012263.1%77 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed LYON57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.333263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Team Secret Whales77c107.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…cae0backed Team Secret Whales76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7641947%197 W · 222 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Team Secret Whales76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7662649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Team Secret Whales44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.416051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8861…ab58backed Team Secret Whales76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6fb8…20f6backed LYON41c90.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.72347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Secret Whales77c88.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3363344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2930…2421backed LYON23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+95.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Team Secret Whales77c84.81$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.321164%135 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc953…b223backed Team Secret Whales77c84.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.95959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed LYON63c79.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3720542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…c94ebacked LYON24c66.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.881752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c6…9df0backed Team Secret Whales77c66.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a94…a328backed LYON24c66.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.441181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+85.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f2…857dbacked LYON23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2213745.3%62 W · 75 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65df…bd6fbacked LYON25c64.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.47955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0384…3a68backed Team Secret Whales17c62.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.736625.8%17 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Team Secret Whales30c56.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0319351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193e…efbebacked LYON64c54.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.573148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Team Secret Whales38c52.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208842%37 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…f6f4backed LYON44c52.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.276360.3%38 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Team Secret Whales76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3861256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed LYON23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Team Secret Whales61c49.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.954440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed LYON76c42.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.089655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Team Secret Whales77c41.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.218750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Team Secret Whales38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Team Secret Whales38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.813957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x9bc1…cccdbacked Team Secret Whales77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308850%44 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Team Secret Whales77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014960.4%90 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b19…babebacked Team Secret Whales77c33.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d2…5bc1backed LYON62c31.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.052254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc39a…69b1backed LYON32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Team Secret Whales68c31.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2512221.3%26 W · 96 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbc1…99bbbacked LYON36c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.193839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Team Secret Whales64c29.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198148.1%39 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked LYON48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0842149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x102f…2ffbbacked Team Secret Whales52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a56…be30backed Team Secret Whales77c28.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed34…cf67backed Team Secret Whales65c25.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Team Secret Whales77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2523264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0be…6605backed Team Secret Whales77c24.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Secret Whales80c20.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.731,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.