TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc39a…69b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$27.82
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$84.07
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.3
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69%+$23.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.54
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$71.16
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+368.1%+$265.05
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+121%+$60.5
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$57.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$47.22
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$74.23
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.09
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.25
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$226.53
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$70.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-60.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.