MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8586f76f1f694c182c7e794570d70c1a470b9b9c7a606b3506af53cfc2d59ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Seattle Mariners, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $857,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $861,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 109,654$51,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,393.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 64,082$35,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,954.27 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 62,063$28,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,710.37 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 54,154$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,153.57 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 40,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 39,462$17,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,703.87 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 36,465$19,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,691.13 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 35,733$21,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,386.27 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,950 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 30,414$9,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 26,398$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,898.32 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 20,321$11,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,176.47 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 19,740$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.03 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 16,547$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,769.81 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 15,552$8,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,242.56 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 13,936$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,343.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…fd63backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,808$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.7 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 10,793$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 10,500$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 10,141$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 9,115$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.1 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 6,069$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.32 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,605$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,133$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,846$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.4 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 4,831$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.54 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,714$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.52 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 4,676$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,642$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.06 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 4,543$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 4,514$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.48 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 4,414$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.91 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 4,373$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.35 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 4,333$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.83 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 4,229$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.92 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 3,792$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 3,640$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,530$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.2 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,444$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,300$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,133$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,078$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.69 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,046$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.1 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,739$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,599$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.46 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,501$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,284$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,150$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,815$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,791$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 1,745$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 1,739$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,712$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.67 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,694$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.53 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,442$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.4 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…f8bcbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 1,430$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,166$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.51 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,088$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.64 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,056$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 987.6$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.43 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 955.93$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 944.44$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 941.43$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 796.3$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 795.48$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.13 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 766.2$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 752.92$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 735.75$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 689.4$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.96 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 652.18$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.13 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-5.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.