MLB · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7efbf74179ef8f66e8de5337866c0bd287324ede6df0fd830e4814ac06b6170a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Seattle Mariners, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 60,000$35,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,279.55 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 32,642$13,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,214.41 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 20,283$9,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314.79 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 20,102$11,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,731.4 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 15,156$9,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.6 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 10,217$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.22 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 5,713$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.03 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 4,566$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.79 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 4,253$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.14 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 4,065$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.59 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 3,163$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.92 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,422$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.9 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 2,149$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.25 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 2,043$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.42 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.04 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…2360backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,866$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,577$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.88 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,423$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.43 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,229$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.89 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…7827backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 967.17$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 885.54$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.64 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 876.91$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 816.01$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.13 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 742.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 471.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.86 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 451.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 437.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 397$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 354.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 354$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 306.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 280.39$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 256.8$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 251.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 238.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 198.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 162.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 132.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 126.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 120.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 111.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 111.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 108.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 106.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 103.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 96.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 89.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 63.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 56.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 55.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 48.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 39.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 38.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 32.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 30.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…a566backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 27.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 25.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 25.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 15.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-5.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.