TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf029…b1c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.92
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.93
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$22.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.22
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.45
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$50.94
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$16.1
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$59.66
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$35.09
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.64
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.34
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.12
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$141.56
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$81.1
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$102.65
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$137.54
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.73
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$60.5
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$123.24
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$63.99
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
All 22 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+110.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$23.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$205.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.