MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ef9372df6d154ea1b9802bac6532da38b5384c0010bb2228ff8e49df9e67b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,012,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,017,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,012,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 481,592$192,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,636.75 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 288,921$173,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,568.49 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 138,551$73,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,869.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 66,667$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 54,891$32,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,956.45 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 52,170$20,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,790.74 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 44,168$26,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,708.74 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 39,304$22,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,047.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 27,408$16,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,676.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.97 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 14,821$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.02 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 12,600$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 10,000$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.98 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 8,765$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.9 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 8,646$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 8,161$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.9 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…63d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 8,141$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 7,711$5,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.28 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 7,040$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 6,798$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 6,481$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 6,333$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.77 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,183$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.32 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,799$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.46 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 4,451$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.57 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 4,267$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 4,167$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 4,165$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.71 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…6fafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 4,020$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 3,851$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 3,606$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…1309backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 3,471$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,674$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.44 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,534$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.52 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,166$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.56 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,022$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 2,002$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.89 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,891$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,850$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,769$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.23 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,659$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.07 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,624$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,513$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.07 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…14c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,370$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.18 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,299$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.11 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,266$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 1,057$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,021$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.4 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 1,000$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 999.98$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 991.18$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 949.95$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 899.92$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.97 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 834.94$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4031backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 800.92$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 784$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 733.69$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 674.9$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 666.32$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 665.65$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 664.22$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 640$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 630$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 630$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 560$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 558.14$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 552.53$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 548.15$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 527.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 523.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 511.84$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 499.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 497.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 480.19$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.