MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a300a4e2a9592aae14c699ed1e09487b330438cf8231fda19eb2e42f0b4a09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 52,873$31,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,677.79 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 37,027$15,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,181.07 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 14,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.93 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 10,427$7,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 5,713$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 5,066$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…1309backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 3,325$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 3,276$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,983$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 2,546$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.86 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,900$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 1,700$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.52 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,688$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.21 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 1,626$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,537$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,507$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,326$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.66 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,155$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,090$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 974.82$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.11 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 869.2$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.37 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 859$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bf27backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 705.68$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 692.96$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 677.37$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 585.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 489.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 391.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 368.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 326.07$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 284.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 257.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 219.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 215$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 192.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 175.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 174.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 171.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 147.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 134.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 130.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 113.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 101.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 96.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 94.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 65.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 53.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 45.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 44.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 43.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…c08bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 26.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 21.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.