TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06fa…d071

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$14.07
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$23.02
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.8
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$21.8
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$18.23
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$15.42
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$6.04
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.18
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$27.79
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$7.27
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.19
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.12
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.54
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.96
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+209%+$75.12
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$31.42
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.23
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$45.42
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.29
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$143.45
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$163.43
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$222.42
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.33
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 192.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$20.91
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.14
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.88
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 189.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.23
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Stormbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$3.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Esport BERG (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Esport BERG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.