MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e45ef67a92106e562910ec69e1b26849a60c8459f0c6f637630f4a5b8ee4dc0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, New York Mets
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $115,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $113,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,330 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres	52c	33,672$17,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,162.57	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets	48c	19,985$9,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,592.6	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres	73c	11,865$8,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,252.77	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked New York Mets	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	531	50.5%268 W · 263 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	10c	4,807$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.29	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres	73c	4,436$3,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.23	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets	45c	4,000$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780	370	32.7%121 W · 249 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked New York Mets	35c	3,100$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.99	96	39.6%38 W · 58 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets	45c	3,068$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.24	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets	22c	2,683$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.7	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets	23c	2,416$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.84	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed New York Mets	49c	2,411$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.3	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed San Diego Padres	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	17c	1,484$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.32	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	47c	1,251$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.44	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	48c	1,187$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.79	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed San Diego Padres	52c	1,070$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.6	449	53.7%241 W · 208 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed New York Mets	5c	986.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed San Diego Padres	58c	978.3$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.3	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets	18c	884.7$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.59	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres	51c	716.17$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.92	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Mets	48c	715.2$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.3	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked San Diego Padres	53c	650.94$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.94	20	55%11 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres	53c	566.04$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.04	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55d0…8c73backed New York Mets	9c	529.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets	23c	483.11$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000b…6ffbbacked New York Mets	42c	479.99$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed San Diego Padres	52c	466.53$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.27	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres	51c	403.78$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.85	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed New York Mets	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets	44c	395$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.02	520	53.8%280 W · 240 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed San Diego Padres	79c	378$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.56	1,100	79.6%876 W · 224 L	+32.7wins	+0.03per pick	77cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	48c	376.87$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.9	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked New York Mets	41c	369.2$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.37	305	48.9%149 W · 156 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked San Diego Padres	62c	328.76$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.93	580	60.5%351 W · 229 L	+30.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked New York Mets	4c	307.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets	48c	300$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeca…0de6backed San Diego Padres	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+4.1wins	+0.22per pick	57cpaid	+39.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed New York Mets	20c	247.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2561…ce3ebacked New York Mets	43c	233.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets	10c	232$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets	22c	227.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.26	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets	41c	222.61$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.83	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed New York Mets	49c	215$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.35	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked New York Mets	49c	204.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed New York Mets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	144	52.8%76 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked New York Mets	49c	202.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed San Diego Padres	80c	200$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.65	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets	47c	190.01$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.31	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked New York Mets	49c	183.67$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	151	53%80 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fa…d071backed New York Mets	28c	182.36$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.56	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres	51c	181.91$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.14	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed New York Mets	46c	179.14$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.06	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed San Diego Padres	53c	169.81$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.81	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed New York Mets	48c	161.93$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.73	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed San Diego Padres	52c	160$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.8	173	46.2%80 W · 93 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c16…e71abacked New York Mets	48c	159.99$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked New York Mets	18c	159.94$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Mets	12c	157.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets	20c	150.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets	45c	150.3$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.3	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…0162backed San Diego Padres	53c	132.08$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed New York Mets	16c	121.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked New York Mets	49c	120$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	447	50.6%226 W · 221 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed New York Mets	20c	116$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	564	35.1%198 W · 366 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked San Diego Padres	52c	112.12$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.82	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed San Diego Padres	53c	104.28$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.01	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres	51c	102.06$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.01	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed New York Mets	49c	102$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	187	42.8%80 W · 107 L	-16.0wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked New York Mets	16c	101.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked New York Mets	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed New York Mets	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed San Diego Padres	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.65	946	55.3%523 W · 423 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed New York Mets	48c	99.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.49	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed San Diego Padres	71c	95.2$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.73	464	44.4%206 W · 258 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets	24c	90.52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed San Diego Padres	51c	90$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.1	223	52.5%117 W · 106 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Mets	33c	88.62$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	603	48.6%293 W · 310 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres	52c	87.62$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.06	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres	75c	84.18$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed New York Mets	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked San Diego Padres	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41cf…8268backed San Diego Padres	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	118	61%72 W · 46 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12df…32fcbacked New York Mets	22c	73.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked New York Mets	15c	70.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed New York Mets	42c	69.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres	59c	68.65$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.15	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets	37c	61.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	2,203	50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L	+29.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…bafebacked San Diego Padres	49c	60.32$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.52	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed New York Mets	37c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	309	28.5%88 W · 221 L	-46.7wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked San Diego Padres	56c	54.07$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.86	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked New York Mets	27c	53.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	1,141	42.9%490 W · 651 L	-37.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed New York Mets	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	175	58.3%102 W · 73 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed New York Mets	38c	50.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	350	47.4%166 W · 184 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed San Diego Padres	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea50…667dbacked New York Mets	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed San Diego Padres	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1,464	63.5%929 W · 535 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsthis page
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York MetsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event