TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47f6…b051

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
683
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT40944.3%181 W · 228 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 409 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
US Open, Qualification ATP: Juan Carlos Prado vs Tomas Barriosbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77.01
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Ku Keon Kang vs Ammar Alhogbanibacked Ammar Alhogbani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Eva Marie Desvignesbacked Natsuki Yoshimoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$103.5
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakinabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$121.5
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Joshua Charlton vs Yusuke Takahashibacked Joshua Charlton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Set 2 Winner: Eala vs Anisimovabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 409 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT17346.2%80 W · 93 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.45
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.76
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.87
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$90.1
Gerrit Cole: Strikeouts O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Randy Dobnak: Strikeouts O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$80
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122%+$148.4
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.39
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$55.8
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.4
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Rizvan Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.36
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.6
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$66.3
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Damien Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.8
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Stewart Nicoll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed RJ Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Anna Melisano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+80%+$93.36
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$109.6
England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$59.12
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$67.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.9
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.25
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.64
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85%+$147
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.6
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magicbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.34
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$86.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.01
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.99
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: DEN (-6.5)backed DEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.48
49ers vs. Chargersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$113.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$161.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.