TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,975,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,530,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,975,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles27c296,557$80,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,034.6688446.3%409 W · 475 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees51c175,326$89,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,798.641,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles16c161,721$26,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,228.9810,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed New York Yankees49c136,629$66,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,667.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles21c128,888$27,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,214.463,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Baltimore Orioles49c120,613$59,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,100.2611049.1%54 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed New York Yankees51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,999.9744446.8%208 W · 236 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles49c100,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,999.9650553.5%270 W · 235 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles29c60,662$17,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,733.654,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Baltimore Orioles49c55,520$27,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,204.877243.1%31 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e38…fd47backed New York Yankees80c52,700$42,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,584.041984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees51c48,994$24,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,006.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baltimore Orioles11c30,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3001,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles22c26,333$5,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,773.088,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9854…7a06backed New York Yankees48c25,865$12,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,424.72825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Baltimore Orioles49c22,222$10,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,888.766365.1%41 W · 22 L+9.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Baltimore Orioles49c20,286$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Baltimore Orioles6c16,384$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.1514924.2%36 W · 113 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles14c15,172$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.0211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees79c14,171$11,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.1548446.7%226 W · 258 L-33.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees51c14,170$7,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,943.064,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f48…235cbacked Baltimore Orioles50c13,990$6,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,939.72035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked New York Yankees51c11,074$5,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,426.141457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles15c10,827$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.2597044.9%436 W · 534 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles18c9,426$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.958,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Baltimore Orioles12c9,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles49c8,663$4,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.8862043.1%267 W · 353 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked Baltimore Orioles49c8,253$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.114035%14 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Baltimore Orioles49c6,762$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.2427253.7%146 W · 126 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees50c6,587$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,293.5377153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked New York Yankees64c5,625$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0256662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked New York Yankees51c5,000$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.2510241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked New York Yankees51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles48c4,891$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.7462447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Baltimore Orioles51c4,619$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.0819854%107 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Baltimore Orioles49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00035643.5%155 W · 201 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Baltimore Orioles48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9624651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb035…ff78backed Baltimore Orioles49c3,944$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles47c3,726$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.4599149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Baltimore Orioles11c3,671$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles49c3,364$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.351,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees51c3,137$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.2516146.6%75 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Baltimore Orioles27c3,083$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Baltimore Orioles40c3,003$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed New York Yankees54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.999843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles0c2,950$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles18c2,887$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles9c2,883$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.952,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Baltimore Orioles17c2,699$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8315949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Baltimore Orioles51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27516051.9%83 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles33c2,484$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.68,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe963…6753backed Baltimore Orioles48c2,371$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.967042.9%30 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed New York Yankees56c2,198$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.471030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Baltimore Orioles48c2,056$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8238133.6%128 W · 253 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22094734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Baltimore Orioles49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98017951.4%92 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Yankees53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9945451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles39c1,888$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.1823048.7%112 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Baltimore Orioles48c1,838$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88236648.9%179 W · 187 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles45c1,810$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81782042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Baltimore Orioles22c1,771$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4328245.7%129 W · 153 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees48c1,752$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.882,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles10c1,698$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.641,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed New York Yankees56c1,654$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.574951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Baltimore Orioles21c1,546$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.851,17643.8%515 W · 661 L-33.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles49c1,545$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.1731847.5%151 W · 167 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6387…95dcbacked New York Yankees53c1,481$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Baltimore Orioles50c1,471$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.4224852.4%130 W · 118 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles19c1,357$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.621,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles47c1,308$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.7915542.6%66 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles49c1,267$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.831,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98d8…20f6backed New York Yankees52c1,233$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.694656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles48c1,173$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.936,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Baltimore Orioles49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5398446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Baltimore Orioles11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Yankees51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49071044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees51c990.39$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2957753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles51c986$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.864,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed New York Yankees53c962.96$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9635449.2%174 W · 180 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed New York Yankees52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5432656.7%185 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles48c888$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2487453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Baltimore Orioles41c831$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1296553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked New York Yankees52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3842642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Baltimore Orioles17c764.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305318.9%10 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Baltimore Orioles29c725$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7161646.4%286 W · 330 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Baltimore Orioles7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509335.5%33 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles26c704.22$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.144,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles35c685.71$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24066250.2%332 W · 330 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees47c668.71$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2835658.1%207 W · 149 L+26.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Baltimore Orioles15c666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.918156.4%102 W · 79 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe079…a06fbacked New York Yankees54c627.28$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Baltimore Orioles16c615.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.532451.9%168 W · 156 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…3b57backed New York Yankees52c603.63$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Baltimore Orioles50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014657.5%84 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Baltimore Orioles21c582.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0988656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Baltimore Orioles49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed New York Yankees51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24522848.2%110 W · 118 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514849.3%73 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.