MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8395da44ae21a5692d1e0925c2a70d999a374452bab1ba54ff5c5fc3c5123d5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,975,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,530,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,975,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 296,557$80,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,034.66 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 175,326$89,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,798.64 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 161,721$26,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,228.98 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed New York Yankees | 49c | 136,629$66,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,667.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 128,888$27,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,214.46 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 120,613$59,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,100.26 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed New York Yankees | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,999.97 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.96 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 60,662$17,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,733.65 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 55,520$27,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,204.87 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed New York Yankees | 80c | 52,700$42,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,584.04 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees | 51c | 48,994$24,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,006.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 26,333$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.08 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…7a06backed New York Yankees | 48c | 25,865$12,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,424.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 22,222$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.76 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 20,286$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 16,384$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.15 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 15,172$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees | 79c | 14,171$11,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.15 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 51c | 14,170$7,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,943.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 13,990$6,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,939.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 11,074$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 10,827$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.25 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 9,426$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.95 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 9,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 8,663$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.88 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 8,253$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 6,762$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.24 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 50c | 6,587$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.53 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 5,625$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 5,000$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.25 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 4,891$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.74 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,619$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.08 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.96 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,944$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,726$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.45 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 3,671$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,364$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.35 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.25 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 3,083$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 3,003$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed New York Yankees | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 2,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 2,887$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.82 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 2,883$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 2,699$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.83 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 2,484$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.6 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,371$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.96 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,198$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,056$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.82 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,888$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.18 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,838$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,810$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 1,771$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.43 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,752$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.88 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 1,698$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,654$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.57 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 1,546$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.85 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,545$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.17 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,481$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,471$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.42 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,357$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.62 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,308$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.79 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.83 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.69 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,173$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.93 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 990.39$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 986$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.86 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed New York Yankees | 53c | 962.96$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.96 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed New York Yankees | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 888$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.24 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 831$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 764.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 725$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 704.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 685.71$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees | 47c | 668.71$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 627.28$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 615.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…3b57backed New York Yankees | 52c | 603.63$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 582.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed New York Yankees | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.