MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163310d1a7d6d905e18b3b008cd2179640398b558ebd6cbee36e0bd4ba4931f3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $318,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $316,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	53c	107,657$57,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,520.31	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over	48c	83,222$39,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,946.62	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…b2aebacked Over	50c	66,229$32,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,972.96	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	50c	48,536$24,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,267.97	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	52c	23,641$12,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,347.8	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	44c	22,656$9,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,927.2	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Under	50c	6,495$3,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,255.63	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	23c	6,063$1,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.76	190	51.1%97 W · 93 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	47c	5,600$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640.2	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	52c	5,435$2,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,608.61	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over	48c	4,002$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,940.95	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	45c	3,951$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.24	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over	49c	3,597$1,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,762.62	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	52c	2,299$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.52	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	36c	2,167$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over	47c	1,500$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.99	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Over	34c	1,472$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	51c	1,443$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.07	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	48c	1,405$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.14	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	50c	1,405$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.28	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	36c	996.67$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.8	556	58.1%323 W · 233 L	+25.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over	49c	946.94$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.8	319	57.4%183 W · 136 L	+23.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed Under	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under	51c	888$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.12	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over	49c	782.71$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.61	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under	53c	771$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.37	273	48%131 W · 142 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under	56c	762.52$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.55	245	51.8%127 W · 118 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	66c	723.1$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.81	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under	70c	715.1$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.64	272	44.9%122 W · 150 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	48c	658$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.03	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Over	46c	640.03$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.16	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	54c	588.69$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.76	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	50c	558.51$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.25	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over	47c	530$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.1	1,167	49%572 W · 595 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	53c	511.83$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.27	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	47c	505.27$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.12	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	52c	433.65$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.91	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	64c	427.59$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.19	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Under	50c	409$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.5	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under	52c	392.08$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.2	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over	50c	391.81$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.57	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	257	51.8%133 W · 124 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	53c	358.19$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.84	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under	47c	347.32$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.08	129	39.5%51 W · 78 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3e6…ef53backed Over	40c	336.15$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.46	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over	19c	333.72$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.48	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	46c	333.66$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.83	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under	55c	328.62$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.62	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	156	39.1%61 W · 95 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3903…5f59backed Under	51c	302.14$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	56c	288.37$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.55	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	20c	280$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	1,173	29%340 W · 833 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked Under	39c	256.54$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.54	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under	67c	217.14$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under	51c	206.61$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.45	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Under	60c	206.2$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.48	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-8.6wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-52%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under	48c	204.45$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.31	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	63c	202.7$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	55c	200$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.61	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under	52c	189.14$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.79	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under	60c	166$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.4	303	40.6%123 W · 180 L	-16.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	49c	154.58$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over	48c	148.58$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.77	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Over	36c	148.05$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.45	175	48%84 W · 91 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	46c	138.89$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.89	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Under	54c	138.89$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.89	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	52c	130$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.4	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under	53c	103.11$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	195	55.9%109 W · 86 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	52c	103.08$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.48	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	30c	99.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3,456	51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L	+107.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under	51c	99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.51	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	151	47.7%72 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over	50c	86.12$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	52c	85$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.11	881	47.8%421 W · 460 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under	51c	72.67$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.61	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	45c	71.94$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.24	2,944	47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	29c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under	52c	70.93$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Over	43c	70$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	1,464	63.5%929 W · 535 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over	24c	67.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	38c	64.65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	242	48.8%118 W · 124 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over	43c	61.86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	400	48.5%194 W · 206 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+8.1wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Under	52c	51.96$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.94	121	54.5%66 W · 55 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	29c	51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.03	447	45.6%204 W · 243 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe3…6599backed Under	52c	45.45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	52c	45.18$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.69	412	49.5%204 W · 208 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under	54c	44.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	586	49.5%290 W · 296 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Over	50c	44.55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	171	60.8%104 W · 67 L	+11.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x050d…2b12backed Over	36c	43.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5this page
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNew York Yankees won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event