MLB · resolved market
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b209e01312f6fdced9030c37d4f5c2b1a3d13492d4ccabb2fad379fdf47b0e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Yes | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed Yes | 43c | 8,313$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yes | 38c | 7,049$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.27 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked No | 57c | 5,861$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.41 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed No | 63c | 5,128$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.85 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 57c | 4,376$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.58 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 56c | 3,050$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.08 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed No | 62c | 2,196$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.13 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed No | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed No | 57c | 1,766$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.49 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked No | 57c | 1,554$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.39 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed No | 59c | 1,489$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.87 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 41c | 1,483$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.6 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed No | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked No | 56c | 888.54$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 57c | 855$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 768.7$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed No | 59c | 758.77$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.77 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 57c | 706$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.58 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed No | 59c | 678.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.58 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 73c | 601.56$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked No | 57c | 546$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.83 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed No | 57c | 528.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 43c | 498.43$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed No | 56c | 447.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c817backed No | 57c | 427.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed No | 57c | 400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked No | 56c | 385.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Yes | 42c | 380.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 56c | 343.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed No | 58c | 342.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…e1c6backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked No | 57c | 291.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 41c | 224$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked No | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No | 73c | 204.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed No | 58c | 202$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 73c | 180.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked No | 59c | 177.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed No | 57c | 176.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…9d95backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 42c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…dd88backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…45ddbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992d…75b7backed No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…8699backed Yes | 42c | 103.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed No | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked No | 59c | 85.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 42c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Yes | 43c | 68.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 43c | 67.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed No | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…1f9ebacked Yes | 44c | 54.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 46c | 49.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 31c | 45.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 41c | 41.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…c1e5backed No | 61c | 41.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 56c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e128backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…bed3backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed No | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 41c | 32.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d6…8727backed No | 61c | 26.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…d01abacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…8315backed No | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed No | 57c | 19.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.