TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a75…dd88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$92.68
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$85.6
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.82
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.47
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.23
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.97
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.15
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.31
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$72
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.51
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.08
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.8
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$151.32
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+289.1%+$153.23
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$86.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.01
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$136.37
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$40.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.