NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19709c1bd74678c16a74a7037dd395335c0deec8ccde02986d0b07d13dfb0add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $941,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $965,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $941,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chargers | 24c | 291,033$69,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,156.14 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed 49ers | 57c | 151,823$86,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,764.34 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…f7a7backed Chargers | 0c | 118,000$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chargers | 54c | 88,571$47,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,556.88 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…7a06backed Chargers | 56c | 63,212$35,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,235.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed 49ers | 51c | 37,000$18,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,096.55 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 49ers | 80c | 31,471$25,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.06 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 49ers | 47c | 24,167$11,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,878.58 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers | 48c | 20,500$9,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,730 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Chargers | 4c | 19,095$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed 49ers | 52c | 13,948$7,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked 49ers | 74c | 13,520$9,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 49ers | 49c | 12,100$5,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,171 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Chargers | 27c | 10,965$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed 49ers | 47c | 9,700$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 49ers | 47c | 9,500$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.85 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chargers | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…ad70backed 49ers | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Chargers | 55c | 6,071$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Chargers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 49ers | 46c | 5,747$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 49ers | 48c | 5,523$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chargers | 0c | 5,310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 49ers | 48c | 5,221$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.53 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 49ers | 47c | 5,059$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.56 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Chargers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed Chargers | 3c | 4,200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked 49ers | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Chargers | 53c | 3,576$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked 49ers | 50c | 3,424$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chargers | 48c | 3,082$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chargers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed 49ers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed 49ers | 49c | 2,493$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.37 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Chargers | 55c | 2,433$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed 49ers | 49c | 2,411$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.47 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed 49ers | 47c | 2,156$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked 49ers | 49c | 2,057$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed 49ers | 48c | 2,043$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.45 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Chargers | 29c | 2,041$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 49ers | 50c | 2,037$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.96 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed 49ers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed 49ers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Chargers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked 49ers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed 49ers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked 49ers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Chargers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked 49ers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked 49ers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Chargers | 57c | 1,892$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 49ers | 60c | 1,798$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.19 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed 49ers | 51c | 1,737$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Chargers | 4c | 1,694$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed 49ers | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chargers | 34c | 1,505$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 49ers | 72c | 1,433$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed 49ers | 53c | 1,429$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.96 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked 49ers | 59c | 1,321$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.61 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked 49ers | 50c | 1,246$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 49ers | 48c | 1,186$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked 49ers | 59c | 1,150$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.61 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Chargers | 52c | 1,132$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Chargers | 54c | 1,114$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed 49ers | 54c | 1,100$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…9bd5backed 49ers | 64c | 1,039$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked 49ers | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked 49ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked 49ers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed 49ers | 31c | 924.37$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Chargers | 55c | 922.22$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Chargers | 53c | 916.3$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Chargers | 58c | 877.62$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Chargers | 27c | 875.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Chargers | 31c | 826.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed 49ers | 46c | 776.16$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked 49ers | 53c | 760$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed 49ers | 53c | 759.13$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked 49ers | 34c | 733.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked 49ers | 48c | 731.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed 49ers | 49c | 697.49$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.72 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Chargers | 40c | 647.8$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed 49ers | 72c | 634.16$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed Chargers | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked 49ers | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…af03backed 49ers | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…d3f0backed 49ers | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…40aebacked 49ers | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked Chargers | 49c | 614.62$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 49ers | 42c | 605.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked 49ers | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Chargers | 27c | 600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed 49ers | 48c | 591$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…1155backed 49ers | 34c | 588.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…08a5backed 49ers | 34c | 588.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…9321backed Chargers | 56c | 585.65$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Chargers | 52c | 566.03$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Chargers | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…4d55backed Chargers | 30c | 553.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Chargers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Chargersthis page
- SF vs. LAC: O/U 37.5Over won
- SF vs. LAC: O/U 38.5Over won
- SF vs. LAC: O/U 39.5Over won
- Spread: LAC (-1.5)SF won
- Spread: SF (-1.5)SF won
- Spread: SF (-2.5)SF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.