TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x687d…e28b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
520
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT9749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.46
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.89
Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.6
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.82
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.38
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$457
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$79.92
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$226.94
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.48
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.25
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$167.58
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$208.62
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$407.44
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$82.15
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.06
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.21
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$27.06
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$253.08
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.97
Quebec City: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.4
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$177.6
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.94
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$191.99
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+29%+$211.05
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$394.99
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$327.98
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakinabacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.56
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$994.37
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$261.16
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$122.38
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$606
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$194.25
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.64
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.54
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.26
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$161.45
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$246.26
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.62
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.81
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$199.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.61
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.48
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$125.58
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$300.57
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.25
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.9
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$80.56
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$48.65
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$124.75
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$219.56
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.2
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$147.82
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.59
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.81
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$439.22
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.91
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.99
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$66.6
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69%+$57.23
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.37
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.75
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.37
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$116.61
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$299.38
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.45
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.68
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.41
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.03
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.56
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$58.8
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.2
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$237.42
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$110.04
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$108.67
Ducks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.29
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+141%+$389.61
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$276.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.96
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$99.8
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$99.8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$180.73
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.36
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$59.47
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$60.76
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$107.05
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.36
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$41.99
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,533.08
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$59.74
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.63
Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.68
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$124.54
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.92
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$113.01
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$316.78
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$73.38
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.79
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.02
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.32
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.34
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$190.92
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.68
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.99
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.66
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$42.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$461.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$119.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.74
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.92
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$92.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$168
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$382.04
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$108
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$103.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$56.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54.96
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$186.2
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$58.33
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$20.89
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$21.88
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$169.66
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$138.14
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.75
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.93
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.4%+$203.18
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$354.72
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+222.6%+$89.03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$137.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$234.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.56
Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.26
Will Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$238
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67.95
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+57.1%+$72.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$337.29
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.32
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$510.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$229.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$299.39
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$189.62
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$235.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+97.2%+$345
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.2
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.89
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49%+$13.74
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46.56
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,714Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+34.8%+$1,639.83
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$24.03
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$199.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$90
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$65.96
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+303.4%+$257.5
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.89
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.6
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.65
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$33.1
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$198.6
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+77.3%+$110.88
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$151.75
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$156.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$109.89
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.79
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.52
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.6%+$48.3
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25.2%+$25.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.99
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$671.44
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$113.62
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.69
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.36
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+54.3%+$72.1
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$559.09
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+43.6%+$306.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$79.33
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$139.86
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$137.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$104.79
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,509Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$502.93
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$54.25
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$82.32
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.07
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.95
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.34
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+473.9%+$236.94
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.24
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25%+$86.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.71
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$100.86
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$264
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$139.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.8%+$96.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$424.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.