Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128f5908b329a92ec8dfd4a2c8697769932683ab98b9eadbcd0b7d716a1e1aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 40,905$8,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,367.43 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed No | 23c | 40,042$9,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,209.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 77c | 25,232$19,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.95 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 78c | 25,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 78c | 16,502$12,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.05 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 79c | 15,585$12,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 22c | 15,168$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 21c | 13,120$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 76c | 10,244$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.76 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 23c | 8,453$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.12 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 77c | 8,027$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 77c | 7,985$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 73c | 6,770$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.52 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 23c | 6,424$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 5,674$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 5,570$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.77 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 21c | 5,446$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.82 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 5,164$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.37 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…8a97backed No | 1c | 2,865$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 20c | 2,456$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.72 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 21c | 2,237$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 74c | 2,076$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 22c | 2,050$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 23c | 1,981$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.57 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 79c | 1,774$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 1,644$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 71c | 1,586$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed Yes | 74c | 1,530$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 78c | 1,302$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 21c | 1,290$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 3c | 1,250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 22c | 1,250$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 78c | 1,248$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.57 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 22c | 1,190$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 79c | 1,183$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 77c | 1,004$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 78c | 1,001$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed No | 24c | 924.79$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 74c | 876.51$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 22c | 836.61$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…af69backed Yes | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 11c | 762.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 26c | 649.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048c…1483backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…e596backed Yes | 78c | 535.77$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 77c | 529.83$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 76c | 470$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 74c | 427.75$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 25c | 387.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 10c | 365.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 349.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 24c | 344.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 77c | 288.31$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 8c | 265.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 78c | 252.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Yes | 77c | 250.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 25c | 248$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…5aabbacked Yes | 77c | 246.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Yes | 77c | 244.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 78c | 240$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 75c | 235.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 76c | 221.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 77c | 213$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…bef1backed Yes | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 22c | 188.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed No | 12c | 169.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 24c | 165.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will FC Metz vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Metz win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.