TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64aa…1dc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.55
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$209.33
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$199.22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$98.82
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+50%+$532.33
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+94%+$287.19
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,416.83
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$210.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,943.83
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+45%+$488.86
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+52.8%+$1,266.12
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$767.21
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,364Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28%+$1,222.63
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$4,379.71
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25.2%+$743.35
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,946.36
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$9,000
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,433Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$2,858.3
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+43.4%+$3,477.59
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+67.1%+$5,635.51
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$1,338.63
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13,361.86
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$95.51
Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Raphael Collignonbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,934Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+39.8%+$4,751.19
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Martin Landaluce vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,563Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+54.4%+$4,656.91
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Justin Engelbacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,782Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.3%+$1,781.12
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Martin Landalucebacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.8%+$1,892.97
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+44.2%+$1,678.21
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Dino Prizmic vs Justin Engelbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,952Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+61.9%+$2,445.51
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,832Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$2,136.19
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodarbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,049.27
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Dino Prizmic vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$3,221.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.6%+$556.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,687.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,600
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$631.38
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$395.16
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.5%+$1,458.47
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.3%+$1,213.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$2,596.12
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,836Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.3%+$2,468.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+52.3%+$2,128.44
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,838Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+235.6%+$6,687.84
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,818.26
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,668.23
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,769.23
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.8%+$720.18
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,413Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.4%+$2,163.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$1,836.56
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,726.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,960Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+26%+$1,287.39
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+47.5%+$1,584.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056.35
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,511.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$53.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$130.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.