La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff137ef96db5b94f0ff7170cfdaefeef5f34e9e3f551f613e95567102f69f578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 27c | 17,162$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,539.89 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 4,966$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.18 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 1,941$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.13 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 80c | 1,892$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 1,631$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.14 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 44c | 1,599$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.69 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 45c | 949.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.49 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 66c | 786.88$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.93 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 56c | 544.68$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.57 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 67c | 448.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 67c | 420.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd768…b69dbacked Yes | 79c | 159.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…bd3cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 117.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 25c | 101.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 44c | 72.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 27c | 67.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 72c | 54.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 53.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 56c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Yes | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…1c3dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 56c | 27.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 57c | 26.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 56c | 25.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.