TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe709…bcc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$47.53
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$77.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$156.21
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$386.38
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,506.8
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+284.6%+$31.31
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$314.63
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+52.7%+$6.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+36.6%+$153.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$198.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.