TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$673,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$721,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes32c145,273$46,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,487.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c71,030$48,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,729.632,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c53,015$36,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,437.696,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked No68c40,082$27,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,832.243246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No68c29,850$20,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,55227750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes34c23,675$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0009636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c21,177$6,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,784.111,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c20,737$6,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,681.611,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c18,739$12,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,105.761,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No68c17,570$11,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,622.4821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No69c16,900$11,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,238.995271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No67c15,071$10,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,026.4718259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No67c13,950$9,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.4910455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes30c12,629$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.725836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c12,266$8,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,170.441,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes33c11,777$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.4510737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No68c11,183$7,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,578.5435652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes28c9,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x010d…2b15backed Yes33c8,684$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c6,152$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.634,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92021965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9918433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c5,180$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.321,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No66c4,950$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.9815344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No69c4,913$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.491,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x434a…882dbacked Yes33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No67c4,504$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.168853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No68c4,380$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.61650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No67c4,365$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.5424146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes32c4,294$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.238958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed No67c4,250$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.493151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes29c4,200$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2182213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No71c4,016$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.7212448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked No68c3,927$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.273348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bf7…0f82backed Yes34c3,256$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes30c3,177$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.6512241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes33c3,151$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.711945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c3,050$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No68c3,006$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No69c3,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9208747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes33c2,984$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.855042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed No69c2,590$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes29c2,586$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes30c2,571$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.4210426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No68c2,500$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.4890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae59…83a2backed Yes33c2,496$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Yes33c2,372$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-71.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No69c2,300$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.9931053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d93…88babacked Yes34c2,282$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes33c2,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes26c2,035$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.926333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No67c2,012$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.914161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No68c2,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.956046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed No71c1,985$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes17c1,928$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.647317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c1,915$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No68c1,900$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60421656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c1,646$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.162,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes32c1,613$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.112832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…f949backed Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5910768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes30c1,440$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.115448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c1,396$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes33c1,294$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42711446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0422458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes31c1,263$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.0310042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…fa57backed No69c1,250$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No74c1,214$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No68c1,200$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.885276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c1,190$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.491,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes31c1,167$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3654839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No68c1,039$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4814456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59b…6ea1backed Yes33c1,010$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.341421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31023531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes32c981.98$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.233336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes33c930.48$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes33c914.64$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.073426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd27…389fbacked Yes34c895.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes30c885.53$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.667841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes31c864.45$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No69c850$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.510159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No70c845.7$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7116851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Yes30c824.6$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.382536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Yes26c815.42$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.014656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes22c768.3$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.927275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No66c766.16$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.495850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes33c754.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.