TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa122…9847

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST4839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.6%+$100.06
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59.7
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+27%+$54.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$428
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$9.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51%+$117.35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.9%+$188.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$365
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.4%+$147.79
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$21.81
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$217.16
Will Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Botswana vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+30.8%+$15.4
Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Zimbabwe vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+72%+$72.02
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$519.82
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32.42
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$256
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$70.51
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.98
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.9%+$53.88
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+64.8%+$97.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$119.81
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.3%+$70.68
Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+57.6%+$120.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$22.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.