Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc620c07b6e724c192694b0ecf50f79efe6ea1c14126ee805557b637325eb9902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 52c | 161,858$84,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,691.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 127,944$61,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,413.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 48c | 18,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 8,940$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.09 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 49c | 1,830$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,421$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 1,363$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 48c | 449.3$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed Under | 49c | 237.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Under | 19c | 164.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 161.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Under | 48c | 95.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Under | 71c | 70.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 40c | 55.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 56c | 54.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 51.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 53c | 43.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…060cbacked Under | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 49c | 35.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Under | 56c | 30.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…b4fcbacked Under | 54c | 28.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.