Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0337f8aed8378a6942c5b244fcfe813a6365c0164423993f9d16163788c9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $721,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.95 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 37,958$18,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,963.93 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 43c | 36,000$15,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,480 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 59c | 25,424$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,423.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 24,504$10,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,753.99 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 39c | 24,342$9,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,398.16 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 42c | 18,178$7,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,634.74 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 62c | 16,710$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,349.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 16,010$9,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,323.7 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 15,899$7,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,968.95 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 38c | 15,487$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 57c | 15,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 46c | 14,222$6,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,729.61 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 13,724$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,106.46 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 9,400$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 57c | 9,350$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 59c | 9,022$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 42c | 8,928$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.76 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 35c | 8,462$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 6,389$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 6,343$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.36 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Yes | 39c | 6,142$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.94 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 41c | 5,495$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 58c | 5,239$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.38 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 5,144$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.31 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 37c | 5,038$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.15 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 59c | 4,787$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 58c | 4,709$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.58 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 4,166$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.95 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 58c | 4,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 51c | 3,921$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.84 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 3,725$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.13 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed Yes | 61c | 3,319$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 41c | 3,094$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 48c | 3,023$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.61 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 43c | 2,926$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 63c | 2,857$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.14 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 41c | 2,634$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.11 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,565$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 54c | 2,499$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…3ea9backed Yes | 59c | 2,281$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 58c | 2,071$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.82 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 1,917$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.02 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,809$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.26 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 39c | 1,716$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.27 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Yes | 61c | 1,711$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 1,647$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.76 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 63c | 1,567$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.68 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.95 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 58c | 1,495$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 40c | 1,472$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yes | 50c | 1,328$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 37c | 1,321$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.14 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 60c | 1,259$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.18 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 1,218$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.48 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Yes | 62c | 1,124$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 1,086$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,072$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.59 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,062$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.3 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed No | 22c | 971.45$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 39c | 959$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.01 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 60c | 940.8$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 37c | 879.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 874.96$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.3 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 60c | 874.95$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 47c | 870.64$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 58c | 850.28$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 37c | 699.97$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 50c | 658.94$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 59c | 647.54$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.42 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 51c | 621.29$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.58 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 48c | 618.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.79 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 62c | 616.63$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 48c | 560.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 74c | 540.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 49c | 531.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.82 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.