TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90e5…e5ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$202.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+178.9%+$178.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$384.89
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$378.01
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.5%+$75.53
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80.19
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$130
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.07
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.75
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+62.3%+$62.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.1%+$221.18
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+148.5%+$148.46
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+101%+$331.08
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. HC Sochibacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.4%+$92.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$224.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.