Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cab52101fc5ec1c1458a081b30cb8321f37cab1d5598922034fb3a1fce5fad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 40c | 38,293$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200.26 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 60c | 34,050$20,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,479.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 39c | 21,257$8,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 9,380$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.17 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 40c | 3,668$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.2 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 2,020$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 61c | 1,574$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.86 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.37 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 1,272$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.12 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,182$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 40c | 1,056$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.74 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 955.64$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.24 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Yes | 60c | 868.17$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 743.48$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 61c | 706.56$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.56 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 610$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 61c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked No | 41c | 533.9$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 59c | 518.25$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 8c | 433.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 59c | 422.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…35efbacked Yes | 60c | 392.12$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Yes | 59c | 371.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 10c | 338.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 61c | 327.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 57c | 253.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Yes | 60c | 221.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 60c | 182.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Yes | 59c | 176.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 175.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 15c | 172.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 59c | 166.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Yes | 62c | 161.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 39c | 160.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 159.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 60c | 152.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 18c | 135.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 40c | 133.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 39c | 132.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 61c | 131.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 27c | 118.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 39c | 106.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2f18backed Yes | 62c | 105.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570f…58c6backed Yes | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf1…1d07backed Yes | 62c | 80.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 39c | 78.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 15c | 76.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…4036backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 61c | 67.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…aeacbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 61c | 66.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked No | 39c | 59.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…bb7dbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed No | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 59c | 51.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 60c | 51.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 20c | 50.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…c9d2backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…2455backed Yes | 61c | 49.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.