TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x162f…585a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST8961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+99%+$282.93
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$501.3
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.22
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,424.99
Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$474.29
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+87%+$442.67
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$491.39
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$559.35
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$441.58
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$155.6
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$448.33
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$115.97
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.93
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+91.5%+$327.43
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$437.4
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$311.61
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$490.5
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$431.2
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$76.73
Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$459
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$340.79
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$593.41
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$38.67
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$35.44
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$576.32
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST6445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$990.49
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$223.95
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,530.89
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,017.59
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.5%+$874.15
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$887.81
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,097.25
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+95.1%+$853.84
Washington State Cougars vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$830.53
Washington Huskies vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,348.35
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-11.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.87
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$915.39
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$360.1
East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$373.04
Spread: Troy Trojans (-7.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$863.95
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85%+$822.22
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$899.53
Spread: Murray State Racers (-5.5)backed Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$864
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,098.29
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.8%+$835.36
Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$965.84
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+67.5%+$895.27
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST4965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$429.73
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,213.61
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$433.06
Penguins vs. Flamesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.02
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$468.78
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.3%+$423.77
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$450
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$461.68
Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+127.4%+$591.54
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$400.98
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$606.8
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$939.4
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$427.23
Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$143.34
Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.7%+$211.91
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.2%+$656.01
Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$421.93
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$371.5
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$329.88
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$354.3
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.8%+$318.4
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+59.9%+$322.25
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$316.41
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$611.91
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+43%+$206.2
LoL: DMG Esports vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Bulldog Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$302.5
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Galions Sharks (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Ebacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.22
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$379.39
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.4%+$76.65
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.1%+$255.8
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$26.71
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.5%+$442.83
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+133%+$135.65
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO1)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+52.3%+$414.79
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$391.36
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3)backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$310.94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+36.2%+$140.38
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$329.68
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+56.4%+$314.41
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$168.82
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+59.5%+$517.97
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs MIBR (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$417.72
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.9%+$311.13
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$370.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$387.98
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+179.4%+$314.25
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+71.2%+$621.07
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.9%+$293.67
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+52.8%+$346.35
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+45.1%+$95.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+291.4%+$368.02
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.25
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.04
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.8%+$318.09
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+118.2%+$519.39
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$327.81
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$475.3
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$319.01
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$316.56
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$113.22
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$381.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100.6%+$543.13
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$677.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$314.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WPL: Delhi Capitals Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenbacked Delhi Capitals Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.2%+$58.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$329.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$218.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$417.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.