CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35d8effb5c99db4dc0e56840bd14aef86921d01198cef0f429d897731ba1894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $644,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis | 61c | 49,220$30,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,195.61 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis | 35c | 41,457$14,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,950.57 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…0313backed Astralis | 48c | 28,857$13,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,009.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed fnatic | 65c | 19,396$12,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,607.47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed fnatic | 57c | 18,888$10,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,795.23 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed fnatic | 41c | 18,219$7,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,531.78 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked fnatic | 60c | 17,852$10,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,661.4 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed fnatic | 41c | 15,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.78 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Astralis | 29c | 14,873$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608.05 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic | 63c | 12,701$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked fnatic | 39c | 11,000$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed fnatic | 63c | 10,832$6,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,782.19 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…75d1backed fnatic | 42c | 10,429$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis | 57c | 10,274$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.68 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…e122backed fnatic | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Astralis | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked fnatic | 43c | 8,709$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.32 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked fnatic | 48c | 8,276$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.8 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed fnatic | 67c | 7,593$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.37 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 41c | 7,510$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.96 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Astralis | 32c | 7,500$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,133.32 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed fnatic | 3c | 7,325$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed fnatic | 45c | 7,106$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.7 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Astralis | 61c | 6,415$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.7 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked fnatic | 43c | 5,721$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.22 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Astralis | 59c | 5,681$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.2 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked fnatic | 44c | 5,400$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic | 57c | 5,346$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.68 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked fnatic | 40c | 5,166$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Astralis | 53c | 5,147$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.64 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…3559backed Astralis | 46c | 4,924$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.34 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked fnatic | 42c | 4,709$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Astralis | 57c | 4,068$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.9 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed fnatic | 4c | 3,806$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Astralis | 37c | 3,700$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.98 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 52c | 3,652$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.26 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed fnatic | 3c | 3,446$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 39c | 3,398$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.62 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked fnatic | 59c | 3,240$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed fnatic | 5c | 3,191$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…1ba3backed Astralis | 21c | 3,132$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +197%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed fnatic | 39c | 3,033$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.06 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic | 54c | 2,778$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Astralis | 49c | 2,711$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed fnatic | 43c | 2,528$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.26 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked fnatic | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 60c | 2,475$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.08 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed fnatic | 40c | 2,475$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked fnatic | 38c | 2,379$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.86 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked fnatic | 55c | 2,316$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.84 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Astralis | 35c | 2,313$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis | 56c | 2,097$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.74 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed fnatic | 1c | 2,086$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…30c5backed fnatic | 26c | 2,084$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed fnatic | 42c | 2,009$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Astralis | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Astralis | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed fnatic | 24c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.85 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Astralis | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed fnatic | 53c | 1,969$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.77 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked fnatic | 45c | 1,859$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.74 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 59c | 1,714$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.54 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed fnatic | 40c | 1,687$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.75 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…216bbacked fnatic | 5c | 1,658$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…0dbcbacked fnatic | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked fnatic | 41c | 1,635$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Astralis | 62c | 1,617$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.03 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed fnatic | 6c | 1,600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Astralis | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Astralis | 58c | 1,494$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked fnatic | 41c | 1,484$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.89 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked fnatic | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed fnatic | 39c | 1,440$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.62 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed fnatic | 47c | 1,440$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.15 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed fnatic | 45c | 1,417$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…6e93backed fnatic | 10c | 1,403$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed fnatic | 56c | 1,386$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.61 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed fnatic | 12c | 1,350$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Astralis | 61c | 1,313$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.96 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed fnatic | 6c | 1,293$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked fnatic | 65c | 1,289$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.57 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked fnatic | 39c | 1,281$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.65 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…894abacked fnatic | 41c | 1,267$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 59c | 1,255$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.47 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed fnatic | 67c | 1,241$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…619cbacked fnatic | 39c | 1,220$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Astralis | 33c | 1,215$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.51 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Astralis | 52c | 1,206$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.62 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed fnatic | 44c | 1,200$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Astralis | 42c | 1,174$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed fnatic | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.63 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Astralis | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.86 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Astralis | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.85 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed fnatic | 35c | 1,020$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked fnatic | 65c | 1,003$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.71 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Astralis | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed fnatic | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked fnatic | 39c | 992.05$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.05 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked fnatic | 51c | 975.94$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked fnatic | 26c | 971.68$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.